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Bitcoin Plunges 20% from Peak: Macro Shocks & Warnings of Drop to $70,000

The cryptocurrency market is currently navigating a sharp correction, with Bitcoin (BTC) falling nearly 20% from its all-time high of approx...

The cryptocurrency market is currently navigating a sharp correction, with Bitcoin (BTC) falling nearly 20% from its all-time high of approximately $126,000 reached in early October. This steep downturn has pushed the price to the critical psychological barrier of $100,000, driven by a convergence of negative macroeconomic and market-specific factors.

Drivers of the Sell-Off

The immediate selling pressure stems from a classic "risk-off" market environment. Global markets are digesting persistent uncertainty surrounding the Federal Reserve's future interest rate policy and a prolonged U.S. government shutdown. This uncertainty has diminished market liquidity and led investors to dial back exposure to risk assets like cryptocurrency.

Compounding the macro pressure, large, long-term investors—often referred to as "whales"—have been selling significant portions of their holdings, with data indicating that some of the oldest Bitcoin wallets have become active. The downturn was exacerbated by a massive deleveraging event, which saw billions of dollars in leveraged positions liquidated, further shattering investor confidence. Additionally, some analysts are cautioning that worries over an overvalued Artificial Intelligence (AI) and tech sector could deepen the crypto slump if a broader market correction occurs.

Critical Support and Downside Risk

The failure to hold critical support levels below the recent highs has led strategists to issue severe warnings about further downside. Mike McGlone, a senior commodity strategist at Bloomberg Intelligence, has emphasized the significance of the $100,000 mark.

Should Bitcoin fail to maintain this price floor, technical analysts are pointing to a potential complete retracement toward the next major support zone, which lies between $70,000 and $75,000. This downside risk represents the most cautious scenario if current selling momentum persists and broader economic jitters continue to weigh heavily on the market.

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